Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.000984 0.001020 0.001057 0.001097 0.001139 0.001183 0.001232
2025-09-14 0.000912 0.000964 0.001019 0.001082 0.001150 0.001224 0.001309
2025-09-21 0.000854 0.000917 0.000985 0.001065 0.001154 0.001254 0.001374
2025-09-28 0.000812 0.000884 0.000963 0.001056 0.001165 0.001289 0.001444
2025-10-05 0.000762 0.000837 0.000921 0.001022 0.001143 0.001284 0.001463
2025-10-12 0.000733 0.000812 0.000903 0.001014 0.001149 0.001310 0.001521
2025-10-19 0.000712 0.000796 0.000893 0.001014 0.001164 0.001347 0.001593
2025-10-26 0.000689 0.000776 0.000877 0.001005 0.001166 0.001367 0.001644
2025-11-02 0.000674 0.000764 0.000870 0.001007 0.001181 0.001404 0.001717
2025-11-09 0.000656 0.000748 0.000857 0.000999 0.001185 0.001424 0.001769
2025-11-16 0.000636 0.000729 0.000841 0.000987 0.001180 0.001433 0.001806
2025-11-23 0.000631 0.000727 0.000844 0.001001 0.001209 0.001489 0.001911
2025-11-30 0.000620 0.000719 0.000840 0.001004 0.001226 0.001529 0.001998
2025-12-07 0.000605 0.000705 0.000828 0.000995 0.001225 0.001544 0.002049
2025-12-14 0.000589 0.000688 0.000812 0.000983 0.001219 0.001550 0.002085
2025-12-21 0.000576 0.000677 0.000802 0.000976 0.001220 0.001568 0.002141
2025-12-28 0.000555 0.000653 0.000776 0.000947 0.001188 0.001535 0.002111
2026-01-04 0.000544 0.000642 0.000766 0.000940 0.001188 0.001548 0.002159
2026-01-11 0.000536 0.000635 0.000761 0.000940 0.001198 0.001578 0.002236
2026-01-18 0.000525 0.000625 0.000751 0.000932 0.001195 0.001588 0.002280
2026-01-25 0.000519 0.000619 0.000748 0.000934 0.001206 0.001619 0.002364
2026-02-01 0.000510 0.000610 0.000740 0.000927 0.001205 0.001632 0.002414
2026-02-08 0.000500 0.000599 0.000729 0.000916 0.001197 0.001633 0.002442